Eszergomi kupa 2

Joe ellen volt egy ilyen duplám a sorompóról:

is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 140

7 point match

pip: 162 score: 3 is Player 1

XGID=a-aBaBBAB-----bBAb-cBbb-aA:0:0:1:00:3:1:0:7:10

on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	62,38% (G:22,52% B:1,49%)	62,12% (G:22,55% B:1,58%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	37,62% (G:13,64% B:0,62%)	37,88% (G:13,80% B:0,65%)
Cubeless Equities	+0,399	+0,919
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0,487
Double/Take:	+0,339 (-0,149)
Double/Pass:	+1,000 (+0,513)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 18,4%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Biztos voltam benne, hogy jó dupla lesz, de kiderült, hogy nem.
Gondolom előbb vissza kell jönni, hogy ez dupla legyen. 9 dobással nem tudok bejönni a 36-ból
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Aztán egy ilyen:
.

is Player 2 score: 4 pip: 130

7 point match

pip: 108 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=-aC-bBDaB---ABAa---bbb-bb-:1:-1:1:53:0:4:0:7:10

to play 53

1.	XG Roller+	14/9 12/9	eq: +0,501
	Player: Opponent: 71,01% (G:11,49% B:0,22%) 28,99% (G:4,17% B:0,08%)
2.	XG Roller+	14/11 12/7*	eq: +0,341 (-0,160)
	Player: Opponent: 61,26% (G:17,49% B:0,72%) 38,74% (G:14,70% B:0,31%)
3.	XG Roller+	13/10 12/7*	eq: +0,193 (-0,308)
	Player: Opponent: 56,43% (G:15,59% B:0,63%) 43,57% (G:20,61% B:2,31%)
4.	XG Roller+	14/6	eq: +0,026 (-0,476)
	Player: Opponent: 50,45% (G:10,55% B:0,39%) 49,55% (G:14,16% B:0,22%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Az ellenfélnek van egy ötpontos háza. 11 dobással üt vissza a sorompóról, ami nagyon sok. Nem éri meg ütni.
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is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 73

7 point match

pip: 65 score: 2 is Player 1

XGID=-ADC-CBb--B---------bcbcc-:0:0:1:00:2:0:0:7:10

on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75,98% (G:0,34% B:0,00%)	75,99% (G:0,33% B:0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24,02% (G:0,25% B:0,00%)	24,01% (G:0,24% B:0,00%)
Cubeless Equities	+0,520	+1,001
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0,721 (-0,091)
Double/Take:	+0,811
Double/Pass:	+1,000 (+0,189)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Egy blitz dupla:

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155

7 point match

pip: 141 score: 0 is Player 1

XGID=aB--BaB-BA--dD---cAdb---A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:7:10

on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	59,32% (G:29,60% B:0,44%)	59,64% (G:30,23% B:0,35%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	40,68% (G:11,25% B:0,74%)	40,36% (G:11,34% B:1,01%)
Cubeless Equities	+0,370	+0,783
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0,499	±0,013 (+0,486..+0,511)
Double/Take:	+0,485 (-0,013)	±0,019 (+0,466..+0,504)
Double/Pass:	+1,000 (+0,501)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2,5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 60579178 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		87,4%
Take Decision confidence:		100,0%
Duration: 44 minutes 26 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Kilenc bábu van a zónában, ami kevés, ráadásul az ellenfél megcsinálta az ötös pontját is.