Héten játszottam egy 13 pontos meccset Pedró ellen a Budapest Ligában. 13-0-ra kaptam ki, pár duplát lefényképeztem.
Első egy nagy hiba. Amitől féltem ha nem jövök be 1-2 körig, akkor a másikat - ha nem is zár ki - dobbantva kiüti, és sok ideje lesz körbe jönni.
Ahogy nézem, ha dob egy 4-1et, utána a sorompóról nekem vissza kell dupláznom az xg szerint, tehát az állás számít, hogy hátrányban vagyok. Megnéztem és 0-2-s hátránynál lenne jó a visszaduplázása
 is Player 1score: 0 pip: 117 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 point match | ||||||||||||||||
 | pip: 101 score: 5  is Player 2 | |||||||||||||||
| XGID=-aBBBBCa----aBa----bAbcbbA:1:-1:-1:00:0:5:0:13:10 | ||||||||||||||||
| on roll, cube action? | ||||||||||||||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 57,78% (G:26,04% B:0,21%) | 58,34% (G:27,13% B:0,06%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 42,22% (G:11,69% B:0,63%) | 41,66% (G:11,45% B:1,06%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0,267 | +0,236 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No redouble: | +0,336 | ±0,007 (+0,329..+0,343) |
| Redouble/Take: | -0,621 (-0,957) | ±0,018 (-0,638..-0,603) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1,000 (+0,664) | |
| Best Cube action: No redouble / Take | ||
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 37,1% | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 54925140 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100,0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100,0% | |
| Duration: 4 minutes 39 seconds | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: eXtremeGammon
Második:
Legalább nem fogadtam el egy tg/p-t
| is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 159 | ||||||||||||||||
 | 13 point match | |||||||||||||||
| pip: 138 score: 7 is Player 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| XGID=-a---aEABA--dD---b-cA-b-bA:0:0:-1:00:0:7:0:13:10 | ||||||||||||||||
| on roll, cube action? | ||||||||||||||||
| Analyzed in XG Roller+ | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 73,52% (G:48,77% B:3,97%) | 73,57% (G:49,15% B:3,94%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 26,48% (G:4,98% B:0,22%) | 26,43% (G:5,06% B:0,23%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0,987 | +1,801 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +1,003 | |
| Double/Take: | +1,332 (+0,329) | |
| Double/Pass: | +1,000 (-0,003) | |
| Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass | ||
| Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 0,8% | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: eXtremeGammon
Utolsónál sejtettem, hogy hiba lehetett a visszadupla, de 10-0-nál megkockáztattam, hogy lehet, hogy szerencsém lesz, és bevállaltam:
| is Player 2 score: 10 pip: 53 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 point match | ||||||||||||||||
| | pip: 55 score: 0 is Player 1 | |||||||||||||||
| XGID=-BACADC------------beabc--:1:1:1:00:0:10:0:13:10 | ||||||||||||||||
| on roll, cube action? | ||||||||||||||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 55,04% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) | 55,02% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 44,96% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) | 44,98% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0,101 | +0,592 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No redouble: | +0,548 (-0,043) | ±0,001 (+0,548..+0,549) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0,592 | ±0,000 (+0,591..+0,592) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1,000 (+0,408) | |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 54925140 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100,0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100,0% | |
| Duration: 40,9 seconds | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: eXtremeGammon
